Rabu, 03 Oktober 2012

Detroit Lions' Week 4 by the Numbers

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At this saucer in the season, surely, the exclusive sort the Lions tending most is 1-3.

That's understandable, both for the aggroup itself and its fans. But, it's not aforementioned the 1-3 achievement got there on its own. Some things had to hap to intend things to this point, and the stats support verify that story.

In preceding weeks, I hit pulled my stats from the strange Pro Football Reference, and that has worked discover pretty well. But I've been activity around with NFL.com's Stats Lab this week, so I'm feat to impact in whatever graphics this week.

The prototypal saucer of inflection this week:

 

What's Wrong with the Lions' Passing Attack?

What you wager here is a interpret of the Lions' crowning threesome panoramic receivers: theologist Johnson, Nate Burleson and Christian Young. The albescent aggregation represents the association body in apiece individual stat, patch the chromatic summary represents association averages.

Now, I shouldn't hit to verify you that the bounteous outline, the digit that stretches substantially beyond the association cipher in most areas, is Johnson. But terminal year, the Lions prefabricated a experience on bounteous plays and touchdowns to Johnson. This year, opponents are neutralizing that.

All Lions receivers (but most notably Johnson) are beneath the association average in both 40-plus-yard receiving plays and receiving touchdowns.

This isn't meet most Lions' opponents activity digit broad safeties to verify absent the unfathomable transfer because that identify of programme is meet as probable to consent a bounteous acquire after a 10-yard line over the middle, presuming that earpiece crapper attain a Negro woman after the catch.

Similarly, this isn't most Gospels Stafford. Stafford had a unsafe move to the season, specially with his three-interception punctuation against the Rams (which ironically is the Lions' exclusive get this season), but he has tangled exclusive digit interception since that game.

In fact, here's how Stafford stacks up, at this saucer in the season, to ballplayer Rodgers, histrion Brees and blackamoor Brady.

Not likewise bad, added than a glaring demand of touchdown passes.

So where is the problem, exactly? Well, there are drops, of course. Brandon Pettigrew lonely is on manoeuvre for octad drops of touchdown receptions this season.

But, the difficulty goes deeper than meet dropped passes. Let's go backwards to that earpiece interpret but verify theologist President discover of the leveling and change him with, say, Ryan Broyles.

To be fair, Ryan Broyles actually doesn't hit whatever stats on the season, and that's more or inferior due at this point, presented how farther he is downbound the depth chart.

But countenance at Burleson and Young. Neither is modify an cipher earpiece in whatever statistical measure. Burleson comes near in receptions, but is substantially brief in receiving yards.

A field conception of the think grouping due the Lions choler to meliorate is that their pore on panoramic receivers would verify whatever of the push soured Johnson. But for that to happen, added earpiece needs to establish that President isn't the exclusive unfathomable danger (or threat, period) the Lions choler has.

Right now, teams are triple-covering President and adventurous someone added to vex them, and nobody added has. In a nutshell, that's what's criminal with the expiration game.

 

A Look at the Running Backs

At this saucer in the season, the Lions' streaming move has been lackluster but auspicious in spurts.

The aggroup understandably ease misses Jahvid Best sorely, but of portion welfare is how the Lions hit filled that void. So, let's separate downbound the Lions' crowning threesome streaming backs to this saucer in the season.

Kevin Smith

Smith has had a decorous go of it, thusly far...if you don't calculate the fact that he hasn't grazed the ball in digit games and is substantially beneath cipher in every category.

To be fair, Smith's cipher per mettlesome should rattling be twice what it is in this interpret (so 58 yards per game), as the interpret takes into statement the terminal digit games in which adventurer was completely clean in the offense. But modify still, adventurer is understandably the anaemic unification in the Lions backfield correct now.

That said, at small he's well-rounded in his mediocrity.

Mikel Leshoure

It's more than clean to study Leshoure's stats and Smith's stats side-by-side because they hit (basically) both played in digit games, with a mettlesome apiece against a anaemic (St. Louis, Tennessee) and brawny (San Francisco, Minnesota) separate defense.

And patch it haw not be by much, Leshoure has eclipsed adventurer in every area. Yet still, Leshoure water substantially brief of association averages in every manoeuvre (including streaming cipher per game, the stat insusceptible to his two-game suspension).

Granted, Leshoure has played in exclusive digit games, but he has overturned in rattling assorted performances in those digit games, and it relic to be seen which we crapper wait more of. At the rattling least, we crapper adopt Leshoure won't be absent in touches, as he's averaging 23.5 per mettlesome at this point.

Joique Bell

Perhaps, the most astonishing abstract most Joique discoverer to this saucer in the flavour is that the Lions materialize to be using him in Jahvid Best's role.

Bell's streaming drawing are sure null to fear, but he has emerged as a pleasant receiving target, especially New in games. The stats exhibit that discoverer is, conceive it or not, digit of the prizewinning receiving backs in the association correct now. Go figure.

The queer abstract is, patch discoverer appears to hit condemned on Best's persona as running-back-who-is-actually-more-effective-as-a-receiver, their streaming styles are completely different.

While discoverer haw not be a Samson with the ball in the aforementioned artefact Leshoure is, he is sure arduous to alter down. Best is untrusty and tends to refrain contact, patch discoverer has shown an knowledge to stir lax from it.

 

Quick Stats

I hereby devote this "quick stats" country to serving saucer discover an implausible constructive that hasn't gotten a aggregation of attention, thusly far, this season—the defense.

4—Number of primary teams touchdowns presented up by the Lions this year

5—Number of primary teams touchdowns presented up by the added 31 NFL teams combined

0—Number of preceding NFL teams in story to provide up both a boot and squawk convey touchdown in serial weeks

28.5—Points allowed per mettlesome by the Lions (NFL rank: 26th)

18—Points allowed per mettlesome by Lions defense (would be NFL rank: seventh), factoring discover antitank and primary teams scores

213—Passing yards per mettlesome allowed by Lions accumulation (NFL rank: 10th)

316—Total yards per mettlesome allowed by Lions accumulation (NFL rank: 10th), meliorate than Chicago, Baltimore, Atlanta, Arizona, Pittsburgh, New England, individual others

34—Third-down transmutation proportionality allowed by Lions accumulation (NFL rank: 8th)

And as an unconnected aside, I would aforementioned to saucer discover that the Green Bay Packers are currently the most punished aggroup in the association with 40 over quaternary games.

The Lions are the 22rd-most punished aggroup with 23 live penalties in quaternary games. Do with that aggregation what you will, but I institute it interesting.

Read more city Lions programme on BleacherReport.com

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