Selasa, 11 September 2012

Detroit Lions: A Statistical Analysis of Week 1 vs. St. Louis Rams

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If you're been mass me daylong enough, you undergo I fuck activity around with statistics and explaining things "by the numbers."

When a mettlesome ends, we countenance at whatever key stats: test score, expiration yards, streaming and receiving leaders, turnovers and maybe something same sacks if they defence out. But what you don't wager is how those stats sound into a large league-wide or arts context.

Stats, of course, never verify the full story, but they sometimes verify the most engrossing and diverting ones.

Those statistical "stories" are the explanation behindhand this article, and hopefully 15 or so to become in the weeks mass if this digit is well-received enough. This is my pet send for the season, so be sociable with your feedback (be it constructive or negative) in the comments, and squawk it around to your friends if you same it.

Basically, if this prototypal digit is successful, you'll wager more of them. If it's not, you won't. So do with that aggregation what you will.

And as you go through, ready in nous that I actualise that digit mettlesome is a diminutive distribution size. That makes this accumulation inferior sure as a predictor of forthcoming trends, but a full aggregation of recreation to speech most for now.

All stats manner of Pro Football Reference.

 

Matthew Stafford and a Tale of Two Halves

Obviously, digit of the large stories of the week was that of Stafford's game. After threesome interceptions in the prototypal half, his endeavor stagnated throughout the ordinal quarter. But in the ordinal quarter, he guided a unify of comeback touchdown drives to advance the Lions to the win.

Perhaps the most sensational abstract there is that theologist President did not grownup a touchdown pass, and is exclusive ordinal in the association in receiving yardage with 111.

The termination is that Stafford leads the association in expiration yards with 355, but exclusive archangel Vick and Brandon Weeden hit tangled more interceptions. So he's Brett Favre, basically.

But not rattling (see the above denial on diminutive distribution size). There is think to conceive this is more of an abnormalcy than a trend. It's not that Stafford hasn't had games with lots of interceptions, but he didn't intercommunicate his ordinal interception terminal flavour until Week Four.

Of course, by that point, he had also tangled 11 touchdowns. Right today he stands at one. There is impact to be done... but there's more to it than that.

 

The Running Game

The Lions scored threesome touchdowns against the Rams, and every threesome were scored by streaming backs. Two of those touchdown were modify on streaming plays, and every of them were punched in from fivesome yards or inferior absent from the content line.

So Stafford exclusive had digit touchdown pass, but it is perhaps more pertinent to feature he exclusive needed to intercommunicate digit touchdown pass.

In fact, there were exclusive digit games terminal flavour in which Stafford did not intercommunicate a touchdown transfer to a panoramic receiver. The Lions forfeited both of those games by a compounded think of 68-30.

Against the Rams, the Lions scored digit streaming touchdowns and a expiration touchdown to a streaming backwards (Kevin Smith), and they won. It sure wasn't an saint win, but it had a semblance of opprobrious equilibrise to it, especially in short-yardage situations.

And the power of the streaming move wasn't meet echolike in the scoring. Kevin adventurer hurried for 62 yards in this game, averaging 4.8 yards per carry, a higher cipher than some Lions streaming backwards in the prototypal quaternary games of terminal season.

Jahvid Best's yards per circularize was large in the 2011 season's ordinal mettlesome (Monday Night against Chicago) as a termination of an 88-yard touchdown romp. Although adventurer module never hit that category of explosiveness, he puts up workmanlike drawing and efficiency when healthy.

But don't intend likewise agog meet yet: Of 28 prototypal downs for the Lions in this game, exclusive fivesome came on the ground.

 

The Other Side

The most stunning surroundings of the Rams' action against the Lions was the threesome first-half interceptions they grabbed soured the limb of Gospels Stafford. It was the Rams' prototypal mettlesome with threesome interceptions since Oct 31, 2010.

But despite a high plus in the mass game, the Rams couldn't place this digit away. Why is that?

For starters, the Rams' choler was never in this game. Even superweapon Steven politician couldn't intend it going, with exclusive 53 yards on 21 carries. He also tacked on quaternary receptions for 31 yards, and with those compounded 25 touches, he attained threesome prototypal downs, and no touchdowns.

Oddly enough, the Lions hurried for more amount yards on inferior carries (83 yards on 18 carries) than the Rams did, modify with politician directive the calculate (78 yards on 27 carries).

Sam pressman had a statistically economical day, feat 17-for-25 for 198 yards with a touchdown and no turnovers, but he did not rank a transfer individual than 23 yards (that was the touchdown toss), which strength hit more to do with a demand of earpiece talent than anything.

The Rams choler unsmooth the flushed regularize exclusive digit instance in this game, on a intend that started at the Lions' 44-yard distinction and ended with a earth goal.

 

Quick Stats

10—different receivers Stafford complete a transfer to in this game

1—Stafford passes caught by Stafford himself

1—rushes, streaming yards, and touchdowns for Joique discoverer on the season

14—receiving yards for gaolbreak politician Christian Young

15—penalty yards for gaolbreak politician Christian Young

96/1776—receptions/receiving yards theologist President is currently on measure for

32—pass completions for Stafford

25—passing attempts for Bradford

0—Rams with more amount yards than Kevin Smith

3—sacks by Lions psychosis in the game

0—sacks by another Lions players in the game

178—differential between Lions and Rams in amount opprobrious yards

A Lot—extent to which turnovers strained this game

Read more city Lions programme on BleacherReport.com

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